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Is Ethiopia at war again? A look at the rebellion in one of its most powerful regions

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Before he was a rebel, Asres Mare Damte was a lawyer. Today he fights for the Fano, a loose collection of groups taking on Ethiophia’s military in one of its most populous and powerful regions.

The conflict in Amhara has simmered largely out of sight, with access limited by authorities and insecurity. But a rare interview with Asres, deputy of an influential Fano faction, and others on the ground give a sense of its impact.

Ethiopia’s federal government has long been challenged to hold together a potent mix of ethnic groups and interests. Sometimes, as recently in the Tigray region, it explodes into war.

The Amhara, Ethiopia’s second-largest ethnic group, once dominated national politics. Many among the rebels want to see them in power again. But they also claim the Amhara are under attack, citing ethnic-based violence in parts of Ethiopia where they are a minority.

The extent of the Amhara fighting has been difficult to measure since the Fano emerged during anti-government protests in 2016.

Alliances in Ethiopia can be shifting. During the Tigray conflict, the Fano fought alongside Ethiopian forces. Afterward, angered by certain terms of the peace deal, the rebels turned against the federal government once again.

Before taking up arms, Asres said he coordinated peaceful demonstrations to protest the killing of Amharas. He was arrested twice and fled in 2022 after a third warrant was issued.

These days, he and fellow fighters live in fear of drone strikes by Ethiopian forces. He makes bullish, unverified claims.

“We have fought thousands of battles,” he told The Associated Press from Amhara’s Gojjam area, which has seen some of the heaviest battles. He claimed that the Fano control over 80% of Amhara, a mountainous region of over 22 million people, and has captured “many enemy troops.”

In a statement last month, Amhara’s deputy head of security said the government had “freed” 2,225 of Amhara’s 4,174 subdistricts. It was not clear how many more were under Fano control.

Fighting has escalated since mid-March, with the Fano launching an offensive across Amhara. The military has claimed it “crushed” the offensive and killed 300 Fano fighters, but reports of clashes persist.

Amhara’s large population has long created pressure to expand, and the ethnic group has claimed the western part of Tigray. The Fano and Amhara regional forces seized it during the Tigray conflict, but they were left out of peace negotiations. They were angered to learn that western Tigray’s fate might be left up to a referendum, which has not been held.

It is “not a genuine peace,” Asres said.

After several months of small-scale skirmishes, Amhara saw open rebellion in July 2023, when Fano groups launched a coordinated offensive and briefly seized control of several towns.

They retreated to the countryside and have waged a hit-and-run guerrilla campaign since then, setting up checkpoints on key roads and often entering major urban areas.

“One week you’re ruled by one, one week you’re ruled by the other,” said a mother of three in the southern town of Debre Markos, referring to the rebels and Ethiopia’s military. She spoke on condition of anonymity for fear of reprisals.

The monitoring group ACLED recorded 270 battles between Fano and government forces between Oct. 27 of last year and Jan. 31, as well as over a dozen attacks targeting health facilities and doctors in Amhara since last April.

Residents and observers say some local officials have fled their posts for fear of assassination, while police struggle to maintain control.

The regional education office says over 3,600 schools across Amhara are closed, with many looted or damaged, depriving 4.5 million children of schooling. The government said 2.3 million people needed food aid in 2024, many in hard-to-reach areas.

“You can’t travel from one city to another safely. Work has stopped,” said Tadesse Gete, a barber based in Ethiopia’s capital, Addis Ababa, but from North Gondar, one of the fighting’s hot spots. He said his family fled for safety.

Rights groups have accused Ethiopia’s military of abuses including extrajudicial killings, drone strikes against civilians and enforced disappearances of alleged Fano sympathizers. Human Rights Watch last year said it had documented attacks by Ethiopian soldiers and allied militias in at least 13 Amhara towns since August 2023.

The bloodiest known episode was in February 2024 in Merawi, 30 kilometers (18 miles) south of Amhara’s regional capital, when Ethiopian troops went door-to-door rounding up and executing civilians following a Fano attack, according to Human Rights Watch and Amnesty International. The state-appointed human rights commission said at least 45 civilians were killed.

“The Ethiopian authorities have taken no meaningful steps to hold perpetrators accountable,” said Haimanot Bejiga, a researcher for Amnesty International.

A government spokesperson denied the allegations at the time, saying “not only would civilians never be targeted, even surrendering combatants would not be killed.”

On March 31, soldiers rounded up and killed civilians in the town of Brakat after clashing with local forces, two witnesses told the AP, speaking on condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation.

One described seeing soldiers killing four women. “They ordered them to kneel down and they shot them from behind,” he said. “After the soldiers left that area, I counted 28 dead bodies.”

The government has restricted access to Brakat and has not commented.

The government did not respond to AP questions. It has accused the Fano of “terrorizing the people”. But it has also formed regional peace councils, and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed last year said his government had been in talks for “a while” with Fano groups.

They have not made significant progress. Abiy has said the rebel’s diffuse structure and lack of a coherent leadership has made negotiating difficult.

The Fano continues to draw recruits from disillusioned Amhara youth and from soldiers deserting the military. They include 25-year-old Andrag Challe, who believes that joining the rebellion is the only way to protect the Amhara and bring political change to Ethiopia.

The military “serves the interests of the ruling party,” not the people, he said.



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Africa

Gabon launches electoral process for September 27 local and legislative elections

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The electoral process for Gabon’s local and legislative elections is officially underway.

The timetable for the September 27 vote has been announced and members of the national election commission have been sworn in by the Constitutional Court.

The revision of electoral rolls across the country begins on July 14 and continues until August 12. This will ensure new voters are added and deceased or ineligible voters removed from the rolls. It will also register any changes of voting centre and update personal data.

People aged 18 and over with a Personal Identification Number (PIN) are automatically registered and need only choose their polling center.

Local electoral commissions will be set up by July 26 and deployed across the country and abroad.

Nominations for the legislative and local elections are open from July 27 to August 7.

Fifth Republic

The Ministry of the Interior and national election commission reaffirmed their commitment to ensuring “credible, transparent and peaceful” elections, and called on citizens to play an active part in building the Fifth Republic.

Last week, two years after seizing power in a coup, President Brice Oligui Nguema unveiled a new political party, the Democratic Union of Builders, or UDB. Oligui secured nearly 95 percent of the vote in April’s presidential election.

The launch of the UDB appears to signal Oligui’s intent to transition from military leader to long-term political figure. While he initially presented himself as a reformer leading a transitional government, the creation of a political party gives structure to his leadership and a platform for future governance.



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Forty years and counting: CAR once again postpones local elections

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Scheduled to take place for the first time in almost forty years, local and municipal elections in the Central African Republic have been once again postponed. 

Initially planned for the end of August, officials say the vote will now be held in December, in conjunction with the legislative and presidential elections. 

President Touadéra, who has been in office since 2016, launched a biometric voter registration exercise last year to update the electoral roll.

Authorities say the postponement is due to a delay in mobilizing funds as well as technical and organizational hiccups. 

Members of the opposition BRDC are calling for an overhaul of the electoral authority and a dialogue with President Touadéra.

CAR has been battling conflict since 2013 when predominantly Muslim rebels seized power and forced the then-president from office. The United Nations has said the elections represent a ”crucial opportunity” to strengthen democratic governance, promote reconciliation and consolidate stability.

The landlocked country is one of the poorest in the world, despite having significant natural resources, including uranium, oil, gold and diamonds. 



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France and New Caledonia reach a deal granting territory more autonomy but no independence

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After 10 days of negotiations, including a final overnight marathon, France has reached an agreement with New Caledonia. The deal grants the South Pacific territory more autonomy — but stops short of the independence sought by many indigenous Kanaks. 

President Macron hailed the deal as historic but it still needs final approval in New Caledonia. If passed, it would create a state of Caledonia within the French Republic incscribed in the French constitution and a Caledonian nationality alongside French nationality.  

The talks stemmed from deadly rioting last year prompted by proposed changes to electoral rules that pro-independence groups said would marginalize Indigenous voters.

The territory has held three referenda on the question of independence, with voters each time opting to remain with France.

A special congress will be held to finalize next steps. Media reports say they could include more sovereignty for New Caledonia over international affairs, security and justice. 

The accord could also eventually allow New Caledonians to change the territory’s name, flag and hymn.

Negotiators stressed the importance of rehabilitating and diversifying New Caledonia’s indebted economy, which depends heavily on nickel mining, and making it less reliant on the French mainland.

France colonized the Pacific archipelago in the 1850s, and it became an overseas territory after World War II, with French citizenship granted to all Kanaks in 1957.



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