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Migration and refugee policies key to economic growth, Say UN and IMF experts

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) unveiled the third chapter of its World Economic Outlook 2025 at the United Nations on Wednesday, with a central focus on the global implications of migration and refugee policies. Titled “Journeys and Junctions: Spillovers from Migration and Refugee Policies,” the report underscores how population movements, when well-managed, can boost economies and strengthen host societies.

Speaking at the launch, Sivanka Dhanapala, Director of the New York Office of the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR), emphasized that refugees should not be viewed as a burden.

“The evidence is very clear that refugees don’t have to be a burden,” Dhanapala said. “With the right policies in place, refugees can, in fact, contribute to an economy. They can bolster the labor supply, they can provide an increase in tax revenue, and of course, they can drive GDP growth.”

Dhanapala noted that the number of forcibly displaced people worldwide has reached 122.6 million, with projections indicating it could surpass 125 million when UNHCR releases its Global Trends Report in June. “That is a tragedy of our times,” he said, reflecting on the steady rise in displacement over the past decade.

The IMF’s findings echo UNHCR’s call for inclusive policies. The report outlines that while destination countries may experience short-term pressure on public services, the long-term gains—ranging from labor market expansion to increased tax revenues—can far outweigh the initial costs if integration is handled effectively.

Pär Liljert, Director of the International Organization for Migration (IOM)’s New York Office, echoed this sentiment, calling for migration to be embedded into broader development strategies.

“Governments wishing to develop well-managed migration policies will have to consider the links between mobility and development,” Liljert said. He highlighted the need to include migrants in health policies and to recognize displacement in national risk reduction plans.

Liljert also pointed to dramatic demographic shifts expected in the coming decades, which he said will require proactive labor market strategies.

“Ninety per cent of the global population growth will be attributed to only 26 countries, mostly in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, while 76 countries will experience population decline,” he explained. “We encourage investments in skills development and policies that improve employability to meet the needs of the changing labor markets.”

As global migration trends continue to evolve, the IMF, UNHCR, and IOM are urging governments to adopt forward-looking policies that view mobility not as a challenge to be managed, but as an opportunity to be harnessed.



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Africa

Gabon launches electoral process for September 27 local and legislative elections

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The electoral process for Gabon’s local and legislative elections is officially underway.

The timetable for the September 27 vote has been announced and members of the national election commission have been sworn in by the Constitutional Court.

The revision of electoral rolls across the country begins on July 14 and continues until August 12. This will ensure new voters are added and deceased or ineligible voters removed from the rolls. It will also register any changes of voting centre and update personal data.

People aged 18 and over with a Personal Identification Number (PIN) are automatically registered and need only choose their polling center.

Local electoral commissions will be set up by July 26 and deployed across the country and abroad.

Nominations for the legislative and local elections are open from July 27 to August 7.

Fifth Republic

The Ministry of the Interior and national election commission reaffirmed their commitment to ensuring “credible, transparent and peaceful” elections, and called on citizens to play an active part in building the Fifth Republic.

Last week, two years after seizing power in a coup, President Brice Oligui Nguema unveiled a new political party, the Democratic Union of Builders, or UDB. Oligui secured nearly 95 percent of the vote in April’s presidential election.

The launch of the UDB appears to signal Oligui’s intent to transition from military leader to long-term political figure. While he initially presented himself as a reformer leading a transitional government, the creation of a political party gives structure to his leadership and a platform for future governance.



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Forty years and counting: CAR once again postpones local elections

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Scheduled to take place for the first time in almost forty years, local and municipal elections in the Central African Republic have been once again postponed. 

Initially planned for the end of August, officials say the vote will now be held in December, in conjunction with the legislative and presidential elections. 

President Touadéra, who has been in office since 2016, launched a biometric voter registration exercise last year to update the electoral roll.

Authorities say the postponement is due to a delay in mobilizing funds as well as technical and organizational hiccups. 

Members of the opposition BRDC are calling for an overhaul of the electoral authority and a dialogue with President Touadéra.

CAR has been battling conflict since 2013 when predominantly Muslim rebels seized power and forced the then-president from office. The United Nations has said the elections represent a ”crucial opportunity” to strengthen democratic governance, promote reconciliation and consolidate stability.

The landlocked country is one of the poorest in the world, despite having significant natural resources, including uranium, oil, gold and diamonds. 



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France and New Caledonia reach a deal granting territory more autonomy but no independence

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After 10 days of negotiations, including a final overnight marathon, France has reached an agreement with New Caledonia. The deal grants the South Pacific territory more autonomy — but stops short of the independence sought by many indigenous Kanaks. 

President Macron hailed the deal as historic but it still needs final approval in New Caledonia. If passed, it would create a state of Caledonia within the French Republic incscribed in the French constitution and a Caledonian nationality alongside French nationality.  

The talks stemmed from deadly rioting last year prompted by proposed changes to electoral rules that pro-independence groups said would marginalize Indigenous voters.

The territory has held three referenda on the question of independence, with voters each time opting to remain with France.

A special congress will be held to finalize next steps. Media reports say they could include more sovereignty for New Caledonia over international affairs, security and justice. 

The accord could also eventually allow New Caledonians to change the territory’s name, flag and hymn.

Negotiators stressed the importance of rehabilitating and diversifying New Caledonia’s indebted economy, which depends heavily on nickel mining, and making it less reliant on the French mainland.

France colonized the Pacific archipelago in the 1850s, and it became an overseas territory after World War II, with French citizenship granted to all Kanaks in 1957.



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